Saturday, July 28, 2012

Prayers for Silver Bullet Unanswered

What works and what doesn't for treating lyme is probably the single most talked about topic on our support groups. Today, Lyme Voices wades into the fray with our survey results on this question. This will be the first in a series of blogs on the treatment questions.

The number one thing I took away from this is that there is no silver bullet that works for everyone, and everything I surveyed about got a "very helpful" rating from some people. That clears it right up, doesn't it?

The way the ratings work for the charts I'm presenting is that I asked people to rate things they had tried with their sense of how helpful it was for them. Then I calculated the average response using these numbers using this formula:

Not helpful = 0*
Somewhat helpful = 1
Helpful = 2
Very helpful = 3

Thus, if everyone who tried something rated it as "very helpful", it should have a rating of 3. It turns out that everything I asked about falls between a 1 and 2-- overall, somewhat helpful to helpful. If we'd hoped for a resounding "This is it!" response, I'm afraid these results** disappoint.




So, we have a top cluster of antibiotics, infrared saunas and herbal antimicrobials. I don't know with the sample size we had if there is much of a statistically relevant difference between these three. But it seems that these three come strongly recommended by chronic lyme patients.

The second cluster also represents treatments that have a good amount of enthusiasm among the people who have tried them, landing right in between "somewhat helpful" and "helpful": IV vitamin C, vitamin C and salt, rife machines, homeopathics and essential oils.

The last category in this very rough clustering are methods that have clearly helped some people, but the support is more luke warm: colloidal silver and hydrogen peroxide. Both of these were also the only ones of the ten in this chart who had more "unhelpful" ratings than any other answer (among those who had tried it).


What works according to those who are getting well

Now, let's look at the same ten treatments, with the folks that have had the best outcomes next to the general lyme populations' responses. By best outcomes, I mean people who are reporting being 75% better or cured.

First, a little additional background on this crowd. There were 69 people in these categories in our survey; only 19% of the people who answered this particular question***. Of people reporting best outcomes, 57% have been actively treating for at least 2 years. That also means that 43% of these folks have been at it for less than 2 years.

That got me curious about how many of them may actually be experiencing a first remission, and not actually going to hold steady with what they are currently reporting. This, in and of itself, is very good news, and given that so many people (66 to be exact) in our survey report no gains or backsliding since starting to treat, it makes sense to count them as having a good outcome, even if it doesn't last or stay steady.

However, it is different than just looking at the pool of people with both a lot of years under their belts and good outcomes--for that we'll need a much larger survey. Then we could speak more confidently about the effectiveness of treatments over the long haul.

Still, here's what this group says. The order of treatments is similar, but it appears that this population has stronger opinions about things. The rating system is the same.



What we see here is that the top 3 answers land in the helpful to very helpful range for people who are doing the best. Again, antibiotics, herbal antimicrobials and infrared saunas top the list. (Now, does that means that if these three things work for you, you'll do well? Or does it mean something else? Need more data!)

Again, our middle cluster falls right between "somewhat helpful" and "helpful" and includes essential oils, rife machines and vitamin C/salt (which are more highly regarded by this group) and IV vitamin C and homeopathics (which don't show any significant difference among those in this subset).

With our third grouping, colloidal silver and hydrogen peroxide, we see them drop below the somewhat helpful line. As with the full survey group, the most common response among those who had tried these was "unhelpful". My conclusion would be that, while they may help some people, they wouldn't be the first thing I'd gravitate toward.

Next blog, we will look more closely at these numbers and break them down in some different ways. For now, go forth and discuss!


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* I considered making "unhelpful" a negative number. I think if I redo this survey, I'll add another choice, which is "harmful" and that really ought to be what gets the negative rating. "Unhelpful" could either be a neutral or a negative, so it didn't feel right to make it negative.


** The astute reader of my blog will probably have noticed that not everything I surveyed about on this question (which was #12 for those using the questions blog as a reference point) is here in the charts. I decided for reporting to make sure I was doing apples to apples. So the ten I've included here are ones that people are using to kill off our shared pathogen of lyme.

So, I left out: fungal and parasite pharmaceuticals; herbs for support of treatment and cleansing and detox. I've also left out, for now, the two specific protocols I asked about: Marshall and Cowden. We'll circle back around to these other ones in later blogs.

In doing so, I am leaving aside for the moment all the myriad arguments ala: "there's no scientific evidence that this kills pathogens." People are using these ten things for that purposes, regardless of the arguments swirling around them, and thus I'm interested in what patients report.


** I don't think we should conclude from this that only 19% of people can get well or show major gains. A lot of folks who have gotten well are probably not all that focused on lyme any more and thus did not participate in this survey, or even tune into its existence; I feel lucky that a handful of them are still around and did participate!

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Hey all! I have set this blog so that anyone can post, and posts are unmoderated. In order to keep it that way, I request that people be kind in your disagreements, open to other viewpoints and come from a spirit of genuinely wanting to help each other on our shared journey. Thanks! Ma'ikwe